Tuesday, November 24, 2009

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Driven largely by the federal government's first-time homebuyer tax credit, existing-home sales showed another big gain in October, while inventories continued to decline, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported Monday. Sales of previously owned homes have trended steadily upward for seven months now. According to NAR's market data, resales of single-family residences, townhomes, condos, and co-op properties surged 10.1 percent to an annual rate of 6.10 million units in October, compared to a 5.54 million unit sales pace in September. NAR says sales activity is the highest it's been since February 2007.
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Last week marked the first sale of commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) in more than a year and already it seems to have sparked renewed interest in the previously stagnant secondary market for commercial real estate. Bank of America is pulling together the market's second new CMBS deal - a $460 million issuance backed by office and industrial properties in Florida. With this recent movement coming to what was previously a firmly gridlocked secondary market for commercial real estate bonds, analysts say liquidity could return to the commercial sector much sooner than anticipated.
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Only one bank was shut down by regulators Friday - Commerce Bank of Southwest Florida in Fort Myers, Florida. The single failure pushes the total number of institutional closures in 2009 to 124, but was a rare departure from the typical multiple bank collapses that have characterized most weekends since the start of the year.
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On Thursday in a United States District Court, Kevin M. O'Connell of Albany, New York, pled guilty to felony charges of laundering of monetary instruments in connection with his role in a mortgage fraud scheme which defrauded financial institutions and mortgage lenders of over $5.3 million in loans from July 2003 to December 2007.
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Monday, November 23, 2009

Market Comment

Mortgage Bonds are near unchanged, but much improved from the worst levels of the morning.
In the news, Existing Home Sales were reported far higher than expectations, and the inventory of unsold homes dropped to a 7-month supply, which is the lowest in 2 1/2 years. These are encouraging signs for the housing market.
I recommend floating for now, but be prepared to lock if the record Treasury Auction this afternoon impacts the Bond market. I will continue to monitor the situation and keep you posted.

Leonard Winslow, Dominion Trust Mortgage
434-760-2580 (direct)
leonard.winslow@dominiontrustmortgage.com
www.dominiontrustmortgage.com/leonard.winslow
Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission. License #: MC-5112.

Your Daily Dose from DSNews.com

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Rep. Barney Frank is once again pushing a mortgage relief program to assist the growing number of homeowners who find themselves without a job - now the primary driver behind mortgage defaults. Under his proposal, some of the $12 billion that the Treasury has gotten back from banks for TARP bailouts would be used to issue low-interest emergency loans to unemployed homeowners who are struggling to make their mortgage payments. While most lawmakers are calling for TARP to expire at year-end, Frank says he would support an extension if it included provisions for jobless homeowners.
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Home prices have plummeted across the country since the onset of the housing crisis, but according to First American CoreLogic, the rate at which property values are dropping has slowed and returned to what could be called a normal seasonal pattern. The company says national home prices, including distressed sales, declined by 9.8 percent in September compared to a year ago. Looking forward, First American CoreLogic's forecast calls for housing prices to bottom for most markets by March 2010 and then turn positive.
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The U.S. Department of the Treasury is putting stock warrants it received for investments made in several large banks on the auction block. Treasury obtained warrants through the capital injections it provided to financial institutions nearly a year ago under the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). While the Department has worked directly with other banks to negotiate buy-back prices for their warrants, it was unable to reach an agreement over the value of the warrants from J.P. Morgan, Capital One, and TCF Financial. The Treasury's warrant positions in these three institutions will be sold at public auctions over the next month.
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According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), a record number of loans are delinquent, and 1 in 22 families in the United States is in the process of losing their home. Based on these figures, the Center for Responsible Lending says the industry is on track for 2.9 million foreclosure starts in this year alone.
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Quality Claims Management
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Your Daily Dose from DSNews.com

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DS News
Rep. Barney Frank is once again pushing a mortgage relief program to assist the growing number of homeowners who find themselves without a job - now the primary driver behind mortgage defaults. Under his proposal, some of the $12 billion that the Treasury has gotten back from banks for TARP bailouts would be used to issue low-interest emergency loans to unemployed homeowners who are struggling to make their mortgage payments. While most lawmakers are calling for TARP to expire at year-end, Frank says he would support an extension if it included provisions for jobless homeowners.
Read More

Home prices have plummeted across the country since the onset of the housing crisis, but according to First American CoreLogic, the rate at which property values are dropping has slowed and returned to what could be called a normal seasonal pattern. The company says national home prices, including distressed sales, declined by 9.8 percent in September compared to a year ago. Looking forward, First American CoreLogic's forecast calls for housing prices to bottom for most markets by March 2010 and then turn positive.
Read More

The U.S. Department of the Treasury is putting stock warrants it received for investments made in several large banks on the auction block. Treasury obtained warrants through the capital injections it provided to financial institutions nearly a year ago under the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). While the Department has worked directly with other banks to negotiate buy-back prices for their warrants, it was unable to reach an agreement over the value of the warrants from J.P. Morgan, Capital One, and TCF Financial. The Treasury's warrant positions in these three institutions will be sold at public auctions over the next month.
Read More

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), a record number of loans are delinquent, and 1 in 22 families in the United States is in the process of losing their home. Based on these figures, the Center for Responsible Lending says the industry is on track for 2.9 million foreclosure starts in this year alone.
Read More

NuSet Locks
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Friday, November 20, 2009

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Despite the industry's unprecedented efforts to keep people in their homes, there are more borrowers behind on their mortgage payments than there have been in 37 years. Even the end of the recession - which economists put at mid-summer - hasn't improved mortgage performance. The Mortgage Bankers Association said Thursday that the national delinquency rate for residential properties rose to 9.64 percent in Q3, setting a new record. Combine that with loans already in foreclosure, and it means a staggering 14.41 percent of all outstanding mortgages aren't current.
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The Obama administration is leaning toward extending the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) through next October. Government officials are grappling with how best to announce a continuance of the financial bailout program, which has become increasingly unpopular with Main Street America and lawmakers alike. Sen. John Thune (R- South Dakota) introduced a bill this week that would block the Treasury secretary from extending TARP past the December 31st termination date.
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NeighborWorks America has an answer to the nation's skyrocketing delinquency numbers. The nonprofit group says that borrowers who receive foreclosure counseling are 60 percent more likely to save their homes from foreclosure than those who go it alone. NeighborWorks also reported that homeowners who had the help of a counselor were able to secure loan modifications that lowered their monthly payments $454 more than those who received a modification without foreclosure counseling.
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With housing affordability hitting near-record highs, now is the time to buy. A combination of low interest rates and reasonable housing prices ensured that nationwide housing affordability lingered near record high levels for the third consecutive quarter, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI) released Thursday.
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NuSet Locks
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Thursday, November 19, 2009

Google News: US Stocks Remain Lower On Weak Energy, Materials Cos

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Wall Street Journal - ‎2 hours ago‎
NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--US stocks pushed to their lowest point of the session near midday Thursday, led by falling metals and energy companies, as gains in the dollar and Treasurys underscored continuing economic uncertainty and prompted a move out of ...
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Google News: Geithner Rejects Call to Resign, Faults Republicans

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Nov. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner defended the Obama administration's economic record and dismissed a call for his resignation from the senior House Republican on the Joint Economic ...
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Google News: Mortgage loans: Record number are late

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CNNMoney.com - ‎30 minutes ago‎
Efforts to combat foreclosure plague are falling short as the total number of delinquent mortgage loans hits 9.64%. By Les Christie, CNNMoney.
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Google News: Booze in the blender: Jimmy Buffett rocks Charlottesville

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I think my wife and I don't get out enough. We won two free tickets to the November 17 Jimmy Buffett concert in Charlottesville from a local ...
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Google News: AOL offers buyouts to 2500, a third of work force

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Google News: HIGHLIGHTS: Geithner's testimony on financial reform

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Google News: Stronger dollar, weak economic data pummels stocks

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The Associated Press - ‎40 minutes ago‎
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Google News: FAA Glitch Causes Airline Delays

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Google News: Read Reid's health care reform bill

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Daily Market Comment

Mortgage Bonds are trading slightly higher and, for the moment, remain relatively close to the best prices of 2009.
This morning, Initial Jobless Claims met expectations, and Continuing Jobless Claims fell by 39,000. Once again, that drop is likely due to benefits expiring, rather than people finding jobs. Later today, the Treasury Department will announce next week's auctions, which could add volatility to the market, depending on how the announcement is received.
Currently, Bonds are near their highs for the year. Therefore I recommend locking, since there's presently a higher risk of Bond prices moving to the downside than there are potential gains available to be made on the upside.

Leonard Winslow, Dominion Trust Mortgage
434-760-2580 (cell)
leonard.winslow@dominiontrustmortgage.com
www.dominiontrustmortgage.com/leonard.winslow
Licensed by the Virginia State Corporation Commission. License #: MC-5112.

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